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Rio Tinto Reduces Canadian Iron Ore Forecast Due to Prolonged Plant Downtime

10/19/2023

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Rio Tinto's Quarterly Production Report: Positive Trends and 3% Share Boost


Rio Tinto had some positive news to share on Tuesday, as they reported increased production in their copper and aluminum divisions for the quarter. This report led to a 3% boost in their shares, despite a reduction in their annual forecast for their Canadian iron ore business, primarily due to operational challenges.

As the world's largest iron ore producer, Rio Tinto had initially projected an output of 10.0 to 11.0 million tons (mt) from their Iron Ore Company of Canada (IOC) division. However, they now anticipate a range of 9.3 to 9.8 million tons due to issues such as extended plant downtime and conveyor belt failures. They also had to contend with the aftermath of wildfires that occurred in Northern Quebec during the previous quarter.

On a more optimistic note, Rio Tinto managed to achieve a 1.2% increase in iron ore shipments during the third quarter. This was primarily attributed to the increased production at the Gudai-Darri mine, resulting in 83.9 mt of iron ore shipped from Pilbara in the September quarter, compared to 82.9 mt the previous year. It's worth noting that Rio Tinto derives 70% of its profits from its iron ore operations, and favorable pricing in the market, driven by China's stimulus efforts, has been a contributing factor.

In addition to the positive developments in iron ore, Rio Tinto also reported a notable 5% increase in mined copper output, reaching 169,000 tons. This was the result of increased production at the high-grade underground Oyu Tolgoi mine and improved feed grades at Escondida.

Kyle Rodda, a senior market analyst at Capital.com, commented on these encouraging signs in Rio's copper business, stating that investors are gaining confidence in the company's strategic adaptation to changing demand dynamics.

Furthermore, Rio Tinto's quarterly aluminum output also saw an impressive 9% rise, reaching 828,000 metric tons.

Despite the adjustment in their iron ore forecast, Rio Tinto maintained their full-year expectations for Pilbara shipments, aiming for the upper end of the 320 million to 335 million ton range.

Investors responded positively to this news, with Rio Tinto's shares surging by as much as 3.3% to A$119.5, while the mining index .AXMM also experienced a 1.3% increase in value.

Source: Reuters (Reporting by Rishav Chatterjee and Nausheen Thusoo)
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