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Oil Costs Dip, But Supply Reductions Secure Brent Beyond $90 a Barrel

9/11/2023

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SINGAPORE, Sept 11 - A slight dip was noted in oil prices during early Asian market hours on Monday, largely influenced by China's economic situation and its potential effects on fuel demand. Yet, Brent continues to soar above $90 a barrel, finding a solid footing because of the limited supplies, thanks to Saudi Arabia and Russia’s decision to prolong supply reductions.

Brent crude saw a modest decline of 49 cents, landing at $90.16 a barrel. Meanwhile, the U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled at $86.77 a barrel, witnessing a 74 cents drop.

ANZ analysts highlighted, "Chinese economic indicators are definitely casting shadows over commodity markets." They further pointed out the robust performance of the U.S. dollar – boasting an impressive eight-week growth streak – as another factor dampening investor interest.

It’s worth noting that both oil contracts have enjoyed back-to-back weekly gains. Brent recently touched its peak since the previous November. This surge came right after both Saudi Arabia and Russia confirmed their intention to prolong their voluntary supply reductions, amounting to a collective 1.3 million barrels daily until year-end.

This week is especially pivotal as both the International Energy Agency and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are set to unveil their monthly summaries.

ANZ analysts optimistically state, "Strong demand signals in the forthcoming oil market reports by IEA and OPEC could further boost oil prices."

Across the Pacific in the U.S., there was a notable addition of an oil rig last week, marking the first such inclusion since June, as per Baker Hughes' weekly summary. However, the overall count is still trailing by 17% compared to the same period in the preceding year.

IG analyst Tony Sycamore predicts a promising trajectory for WTI in the upcoming weeks. He envisions it stabilizing between $83 and $93.50. Yet, he does caution that demand fluctuations in both China and Europe might pose some restrictions on its ascent.

Source : Reuters (Reporting by Florence Tan)
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