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Market Buzz: Middle East Turmoil Sparks Oil Price Drop

10/10/2023

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Oil Prices React to Israel-Hamas Conflict: Global Implications


October 10th - Oil prices experienced a minor dip on Tuesday following a robust 4% surge in the preceding session. This shift in sentiment occurred as markets contemplated the potential for disruptions in the supply chain amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian organization, Hamas.

At 0017 GMT, Brent crude showed a decrease of 18 cents, equivalent to 0.2%, settling at $87.97 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude exhibited a slight decline of 16 cents, or 0.2%, landing at $86.22 per barrel.

Monday's news regarding the conflict had triggered significant gains of more than $3.50 for both benchmark oil prices. This surge was a welcome relief after a week of volatile trading, which had seen sharp declines.

Over the weekend, Hamas initiated one of the most substantial military offensives against Israel in decades, and the conflict continued well into Monday night as Israel responded with a series of airstrikes on Gaza.

While it's worth noting that Israel's crude oil production is minimal, there was a growing concern in the market that an escalation of the conflict could disrupt Middle East supply chains and exacerbate the anticipated supply deficit for the remainder of the year.

Reports on Monday indicated that Israel's Ashkelon port and oil terminal had been shuttered in the aftermath of the conflict.

Additionally, the ongoing turmoil could potentially derail U.S. efforts to facilitate a reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Israel, including any associated plans to increase output next year as part of a larger agreement.

Analysts have also suggested that the instability in the region may lead the United States to tighten its sanctions on Iran, potentially affecting the export of Iranian oil. Despite lacking direct evidence of Iran's involvement in the attacks, a White House spokesperson acknowledged their suspicions on Monday.

On a more optimistic note regarding the global oil supply, discussions between Venezuela and the United States have made progress. These talks could potentially result in sanctions relief for Caracas, allowing at least one additional foreign oil company to engage in the purchase of Venezuelan crude oil under certain conditions, according to insider sources.

Source : Reuters (Reporting by Arathy Somasekhar)
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