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Iron Ore Surges Amid Fresh Optimism for Chinese Stimulus

10/13/2023

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Iron Ore Futures Rebound Amid China's Economic Stimulus Hopes


Iron ore futures experienced a boost on Wednesday, breaking a streak of six consecutive declines in the Singapore benchmark. The resurgence in optimism came as there were renewed hopes that China might unveil more substantial stimulus measures to bolster its slowing economy.

The primary contract for November, the most active on the Singapore Exchange, climbed by 0.7% to reach $111.55 per metric ton, as of 0700 GMT, following a recent dip to a six-week low of $109.25 in the preceding session.

Over in China, iron ore's most traded contract for January on the Dalian Commodity Exchange also saw a 1% uptick, closing at 827.50 yuan ($113.39) per ton during daytime trading.

The Singapore benchmark reference price had fallen by over 7% from its third-quarter peak of $121.10, largely due to concerns surrounding potential steel production cuts in China and uncertainty revolving around the country's beleaguered property sector.

Country Garden (2007.HK) recently issued warnings regarding its inability to meet offshore debt obligations, possibly joining a growing list of Chinese developers grappling with defaults. This further underscores the deepening crisis that is affecting the world's second-largest economy, as well as its status as the largest steel producer and metals consumer.

National Australia Bank analysts highlighted the deteriorating state of China's property sector as a potential catalyst for more substantial stimulus measures, which could drive commodity prices higher compared to their current levels.

Meanwhile, China's highest court has issued guidelines aimed at enhancing the legal environment for private businesses. This development suggests a renewed commitment by policymakers to support a crucial driver of economic growth.

Furthermore, Bloomberg News reported on Tuesday that China is considering an increase in its budget deficit for 2023 as part of its preparations to implement a fresh round of stimulus measures to help the economy achieve its annual growth target.

Although steel benchmarks in Shanghai remained subdued, with rebar down by 0.2% and hot-rolled coil and stainless steel experiencing slight dips, the overall sentiment in the iron ore market was buoyed by the prospect of increased stimulus efforts.

On the Dalian exchange, coking coal and coke faced declines of 4.3% and 2.5%, respectively.

Source : Reuters (Reporting by Enrico Dela Cruz)
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